Reasons for brexit

下面为大家整理一篇优秀的assignment代写范文- Reasons for brexit，供大家参考学习，这篇论文讨论了英国脱欧的原因。英国脱欧的原因，来源于英国大陆均势主义的传统思维和欧盟一体化的思维冲击。即英国和欧盟和目标并不一致，只是单纯的短期合作。英国极力的谋求一种相对均衡的外交政策，即大陆均势原则。

For the eu, Britain's exit is a blow to Europe's nearly century-old integration process. Opinions vary on the result of Britain's leaving the eu. Therefore, based on the social reality and the understanding of researchers, this paper mainly analyzes the causes of Britain's leaving the eu from the perspective of social grassroots.

On January 23, 2013, British prime minister David Cameron formally proposed the referendum and delivered a speech on the prospect of the relationship between Britain and the eu. The prime minister has promised that if he wins the general election due in 2015, he will ratify the laws needed to set new principles for relations with the eu within a year and then hold a referendum on leaving the eu, giving people the chance to choose to remain or leave. On January 4, 2015, British prime minister David Cameron said that if possible, the planned referendum in 2017 would be held ahead of schedule. The referendum must be held by the end of 2017. On March 17, 2015, British prime minister David Cameron said that if he won the election in May, the possibility that he would bring forward the eu membership referendum to 2015 was "very small". Mr Cameron has promised to renegotiate Britain's relationship with Europe, including on issues such as immigration, and then hold a referendum by 2017 in hopes of preventing a rise in euroscepticism that has led some conservative voters to turn to the anti-eu UK independence party.

The vote to leave the European Union began at 7am local time on June 23, 2016. The vote, which will last 15 hours, will have a direct impact on Britain's future membership of the European Union. On June 24th British citizens voted in a referendum on leaving the European Union. According to the latest BBC report, the leave campaign received 16,738,813 votes, more than 50% of the vote. The remainers received 15,610,071 votes, which means Britain will successfully leave the European Union.

Geographically, Britain is separated from the European continent by the English channel and has long been isolated from the rest of the world. Since modern times, the empire has achieved a lot of glory. It defeated invading France, Spain and the Netherlands. During this period, Britain pursued a policy of glorious isolation, that is, no alliance with continental countries. In fact, with the support of the powerful British royal navy, Britain became the DE facto leader of Europe. Britain's splendid isolation policy has been implemented into the beginning of the 20th century, under intense pressure from Germany, Britain cannot control situation in Europe such as ever, so was forced to seek Allies in Europe, it selected his enemy and German rival, Russia and France, and together they control the situation in Europe, this is the beginning of the British return to Europe. However, in the World War II, France was defeated, Britain isolated the British Isles and survived only by relying on the support of the United States. In addition, the United States vigorously supported the development of Europe after the war and restored its vitality. In fact, the relationship between Britain and the United States is further strengthened and the relationship between Britain and European countries is alienated. This is the reason why modern Britain is marginalized by Europe.

Anyone familiar with European history knows that the British have long had a sense of superiority over the continent, and that this has led to a tendency towards "glorious isolation". This time, the British people chose to leave the eu, no doubt heralding the "isolationism" ideology once again into the mainstream. At present, Britain's economic situation is better than that of the eu as a whole, and its independence from the monetary system outside the eurozone has enabled the UK to avoid the transmission of the eu crisis, which further encourages the sense of superiority of the British people. For brexiters, the eu is a drag on Britain's economic performance. Immigrants from the European Union also encroach heavily on British welfare. Immigration is arguably the most compelling argument for brexiters in the UK. Since 2000, migrants from the rest of the eu have flocked to Britain because its economy is more dynamic and has more job opportunities than the eu's. But as immigration from the eu has grown, so has opposition to immigration. In their view, immigrants from the European Union crowd out employment opportunities at home, and since most of them are low-skilled workers, the British government even needs to pay a lot of benefits for them.

Property prices in the UK fell more sharply in July as a result of the vote to leave the European Union, according to figures released by property portal right move on Thursday. In the four weeks to July 9, the average price of a property sold in the UK fell 0.9 per cent from June, the figures showed, an increase from the same month in previous years. According to LonRes, a research firm, in the 12 days after the "leave" vote the number of distressed properties in London jumped by 163% compared with the 12 days before, but sales were 18% lower than before the vote and 43% lower than a year ago. Car registrations in the European Union and the European free trade union rose 6.5 percent to 1.51 million vehicles in June from a year earlier, the 34th straight month of growth, but at the slowest pace since march, the European association of automobile manufacturers said in a statement. Indeed, the bank of England predicted on June 16th that the pound would fall further, perhaps by a lot, once Britain voted to leave the eu. According to the research report conducted by the international monetary fund after brexit, if the UK does not leave the eu in 2016, its GDP will grow by 1.9%, and if it leaves the eu, it will grow by 1.1%. In 2017, if it does not leave the eu, its GDP will grow by 2.2%, and if it leaves the eu, its GDP will decline by 0.8%. According to the average of forecasts made by major investment Banks, if the UK stays in the eu, the pound will rise by 1.6%, while the pound will fall by 10.25% after brexit.

Therefore, according to media reports, the impact of brexit on the UK is almost all negative. Britain's surprise departure from the European Union has become the biggest black swan event of the year. In the face of this sudden change, Britain, which pushed for the vote to leave the European Union, has been the biggest victim, underscoring the cost of Mr Cameron's political gamble. In fact, the trump phenomenon in the United States and the brexit phenomenon in the United Kingdom are the same problem, that is, the grassroots challenge the ruling elite. Trump came out on top because he completely violated the behavior of traditional American politicians, and people like trump to tell the truth. The British people just don't believe the media, because the media is controlled by the rich, controlled by the capitalists, and of course they speak for themselves. These people run the media, and when they want to stay, 95 percent of the media criticizes leave.

So brexit is a grassroots cry. Its Labour force has flooded into Western Europe because of the ten "poor eastern relatives" who have joined the eu. Britain, for example, took in more than 1m Eastern Europeans in a decade. In the eyes of the British middle and lower classes, immigrants from Eastern Europe take their jobs and apply for a lot of benefits and allowances. However, they seldom spend money in Britain and send money back to their hometown in Eastern Europe. The same is true in the Netherlands, Germany, France and other countries. At precisely the same time, the European economy fell into recession. When the cake is bigger, more people will share it, and no one will say anything. But when the cake doesn't get bigger, or even smaller, the contradiction arises. Unfortunately, entrepreneurs and factory owners argue that immigrants from Eastern Europe increase the supply of Labour and lower the cost of doing business. Politicians, on the other hand, argue that immigration adds to the economy and is easier to justify. And enlargement could squeeze Russia and make Europe safer. In the game of European Union enlargement and European integration, the rich get richer, the poor get poorer and even have to compete for jobs with eastern European immigrants. So it is impossible for the poor not to be angry. On the other hand, who in the hell wants to remain? First financial system. Europe is divided in this way, Germany provides the manufacturing, France provides the manufacturing of luxury goods, and then goes to Eastern Europe for processing, all of which is funded by Britain, so Britain is the god of wealth in Europe. Moreover, the proportion of financial assets held by the UK in the local GDP of eu countries is as high as 9.5%, so whether the status of the god of wealth in Europe will be guaranteed once the eu leaves the eu is a question mark. The second largest company backed remain. According to the ft 100 index published on February 23rd this year, 36 companies have said they want to stay in the eu, including bt group, marks & spencer, vodafone and others. According to the frankfurter allgemeine zeitung, 79 percent of senior British officials and business people want to remain in the eu, while 83 percent of German business people think Britain should remain. Third, the British prime minister wants to remain in the eu. The tories are already nervous, with support for the pro-brexit independence party rising fivefold from 3% in 2010 to 15% in the 2012 general election. Is a general election in 2015, so the tories want to be able to hit the independence party, for Mr Cameron promised to hit the independence party, attract their votes, commitment as long as a conservative elected, immediately take off the referendum, Mr Cameron really regret it, because he did not dream of the 2015 general election he had wrought a great victory, so as a politician since promised to do, crustily skin of head also have to hold a referendum.

China is facing mounting environmental pressure in its neighborhood, and it is urgent to find new partners to ease the economic and political pressure jointly exerted by the United States, Japan and other countries. Since last year, trade between China and the UK has become more frequent, creating more and more common economic interests. In order to achieve mutual benefit and win-win situation, Britain began to gradually transform its role in the eu into an important supporter and partner of China. On top of that, the UK is also pushing hard for a china-eu free trade agreement. If the multi-billion dollar deal is signed, it will generate huge trade orders for China and help open up the European market. The successful implementation of the trade agreement may have a huge impact on the us-backed trans-atlantic trade and investment, and become an important measure for China to cope with the gradually tightening us policy towards China.

However, once the UK leaves the eu, China's strategic plan to strengthen cooperation with the eu through the UK will become extremely difficult. Britain's leaving the eu is no less than indirectly breaking the invisible cooperation bond between China and the eu, which makes China have to choose other ways to intensify the cooperation with the eu. Besides, the influence of various policies and trade laid in the early stage is also likely to be greatly reduced and become a high sunk cost.

To sum up, in the short term, Britain will suffer from financial turmoil due to brexit, but in the long term, brexit will not cause great impact on Britain, because it will give the British economy more freedom and independence. Moreover, the UK is already the god of wealth of the eu. Even if it leaves the eu, it will not be easy to change its financial status. Therefore, we should view the current situation caused by the brexit with this prudent and optimistic attitude. But most importantly, a united Europe and the United States is closer union, a divided Europe and the United States would gradually alienated, and Russia's relationship with China could be more strengthened, so take off the event could do a lot of turmoil, including political, economic and financial turmoil, but for the Chinese government, should be a more positive signals.

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