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Sustainable future to the next level civilisation--论文代写范文精选
2016-01-12 来源: 51due教员组 类别: Paper范文
我们提出在数学上严格的描述,对于文明的复杂性发展,得到这样一个工作基础,完整、客观准确、可靠的科学发展。它有一个高度不均匀的间断平衡,在更大的相对平稳而缓慢的进化时期。下面的paper代写范文进行详述。
Abstract
Universal and rigorously derived concept of dynamic complexity shows that any system of interacting components, including society and civilisation, is a process of highly uneven development of its unreduced complexity. Modern civilisation state corresponds to the end of unfolding of a big complexity level. Such exhausted, totally “replete” structure cannot be sustainable in principle and shows instead increased instability, realising its replacement by a new kind of structure with either low or much higher complexity (degrading or progressive development branch respectively). Unrestricted sustainability can emerge only after transition to the next, superior level of civilisation complexity, which implies qualitative and unified changes in all aspects of life, including knowledge, production, social organisation, and infrastructure. These changes are specified by a rigorous analysis of underlying interaction processes. We propose mathematically rigorous description of unreduced civilisation complexity development, including universal criterion of progress. One obtains thus a working basis for the causally complete, objectively exact and reliable development science and futurology.
Keywords: Dynamic redundance, revolution of complexity, criterion of progress, noosphere
Future quest in a high-tech epoch of change
Although permanent change is inherent in a planet, life, and civilisation existence, it has a highly uneven character of “punctuated equilibrium”, where larger periods of relatively smooth and slow evolution are interrupted by short periods of huge and abrupt, “revolutionary” change. Rapidly growing body of evidence shows that today the planetary life and civilisation on Earth are approaching very closely the next “bifurcation point” of development, or “generalised phase transition” [1], which is often referred to as “singularity” (though in terms of particular technological aspects) and marks a global change of unprecedented scale (see e.g. [2–6]). It is not surprising that the eternal humanity quest for its future gains today quickly growing importance and public interest [7] that can be surpassed only by the global change dynamics itself. A large part of this interest is driven by the traditional “fear of the (unknown) future”, essentially amplified now because of the clearly felt huge scale of emerging change and related uncertainty [3, 4].
An important aspect of the present epoch of change and its “future shock” [6] is due to the extraordinary growth of “high”, but empirically based technologies that can now, for the first time in history, modify the natural system complexity at its full depth, in quantum world (high-energy physics), biology (genetics), environment (industrial over-production) and human dimensions (psychology, media, information technologies), while remaining effectively blind at the level of genuine understanding of those real system dynamics [8–11]. Even the most serious attempts of future studies [7] fail to provide an objectively reliable, consistent and unified understanding of the emerging change meaning and dynamics, replacing it with empirical interpolation of separate, though important aspects of the current development, such as economic and technological tendencies, ecological system evolution, human behaviour, etc.
Unreduced interaction dynamics
Any system dynamics and evolution are determined by the underlying interaction processes. The way of interaction analysis in usual science (including the scholar “science of complexity”) involves rough simplification (reduction) of real interaction within a version of perturbation theory (or “model”) that assumes effective weakness of interaction influence upon system configuration, which kills any possibility of essential novelty emergence from the beginning (with the evident fatal consequences for such approach ability to predict any nontrivial future). Subsequent play with analytical or computer models of thus heavily reduced reality, empirically postulated (rather than derived) object properties and arbitrarily adjusted parameters cannot replace the intrinsic creativity of unreduced interaction processes.
It is no wonder that the qualitative knowledge extension to the causally complete understanding of real phenomena, provided by the universal science of complexity [1], is simply due to the proposed non-simplified, truly “exact” analysis of unreduced, real interaction processes. Its possibilities are confirmed by the obtained consistent solutions to various stagnating, “insoluble” problems [1], from those of fundamental physics (causal and unified extensions of quantum mechanics, relativity, cosmology) [9, 15, 16] and unreduced many-body interaction (true quantum chaos, quantum measurement, many-body coherence) [10, 17], to reliable basis for nanobiotechnology [10, 18], genomics [11] and medicine [19], theory of genuine (natural or artifi- cial) intelligence and consciousness [20], the new kind of communication and information systems [21], and realistic sustainability concept [14].
Concluding remarks
Summarising the universal science of complexity [1, 8–22] (Sec. 2) and its application to the problems of modern civilisation development (Sec. 3), one should emphasize intrinsic unification of causally specified meaning and purpose of life, future, progress, nature, cosmos, and our destiny within the universal symmetry of complexity (Sec. 2.2), thus constituting the practical guiding principle for civilisation development. Application of the unreduced science of complexity to the problem of cosmic life and extraterrestrial civilisations shows that life realisations in cosmos should be multiple and diverse, while unique civilisation existence is highly improbable: it follows already from the basic property of dynamic multivaluedness(Sec. 2.1).
The complexity correspondence principle following directly from the universal symmetry of complexity [1, 10] provides a rigorous basis for the statement that real, constructive contact between different civilisations is possible if they have similar levels of unreduced complexity (consciousness) that should certainly be high enough for the contact at a cosmic scale. Therefore the complexity/consciousness upgrade of a particular civilisation of the planet Sect. 4: Cosmic intelligence, future, and complexity: Concluding remarks 21 Earth, which is necessary for its own development (Sec. 3), can be a much more efficient way of establishing contact with extraterrestrial intelligence than usually applied technical means (“find an alien within yourself”). There is no other way to a sustainable, non-destructive future than essential growth of civilisation complexity taking the form of Revolution of Complexity in all fields of human activity (Sec. 3.1). But since the latter is determined by the level of consciousness that can be causally understood itself as a high enough level of complex interaction dynamics [1, 20], it becomes evident that modern bifurcation of development is centred around that critical consciousness upgrade, which constitutes today the main factor of civilisation survival: real Future comes as a superior level of individual consciousness. It shows the emerging predominant role of individually specified results of global interaction processes, as opposed to conventional “mass consciousness” effects of the unitary society at previous development stages.
In fact, only consciousness complexity development provides the basically unlimited progress perspective after the objective end of the unitary history of “hot” events (cf. [26]). As every future becomes uncertain at a qualitative transition point of modern Apocalyptic scale (Sec. 3.1), one should understand now all possible futures within a unified vision, by contrast to innumerable “scenarios” and onedimensional unitary interpolation “threads” forseparate aspects of development that become totally inefficient and misleading just at such critical point of “generalised phase transition” [1] (cf. [2–7]). Providing a unique possibility of such unified, causally complete vision of multiple interaction processes determining civilisation development, the universal science of complexity constitutes the truly scientific basis for consistent, provably reliable futurology and its critically important applications to modern development problems [1, 14].
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